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Holiday inventory: fund the season you can sell, not the one you hope for.

Stock arrives in September, peak sales arrive in December, and the payments start in between. Here is a dated plan, a downside case, and a test for how much to borrow.

✓ Checking what you qualify for does not affect your credit score.

The short answer

Updated October 13, 2026 · Merchant Fund Express

Seasonal retail funding works when the stock you buy sells through in time to cover the payments, with margin to spare. It fails when the season disappoints and you are left paying for goods still on the shelf in January.

So the right amount is set by your downside case, not your best one.

Build the timeline first

Order dates and deposit terms for each vendor
Delivery windows, and how late a shipment can arrive and still sell
Your weekly sell-through from last season, by category
Markdown dates, when unsold stock stops earning full margin
Payment rhythm on any funding, set against your weekly deposits

A dated season, base case (illustrative)

A gift and home store doing about $42,000 a month outside the season buys $60,000 of holiday stock at cost, priced at a 2.2 times markup.

DateEventCashSeason position
Aug 25Vendor deposits$18,000 out−$18,000
Sep 20Balance on delivery$42,000 out−$60,000
OctEarly sell-through, about 15%$19,800 in−$40,200
NovAbout 35%, Black Friday weekend$46,200 in$6,000
DecAbout 40%$52,800 in$58,800
JanFinal 10% at markdown$7,900 in$66,700

In the base case the season returns its cost by late November and finishes about $66,700 ahead. The deepest point is $60,000 in late September.

All figures in worked examples are illustrations of the arithmetic, not offers or quotes. Real terms depend on your file and the funder.

The downside case (illustrative)

Now assume a soft season: 25% less sell-through, and everything unsold marked down in January.

DateEventCashSeason position
OctAbout 11% sold$14,500 in−$45,500
NovAbout 26%$34,300 in−$11,200
DecAbout 30%$39,600 in$28,400
JanRemaining 33% at deep markdown$13,000 in$41,400

Even the soft season stays positive overall, but cash is negative well into December instead of late November. Any payment schedule has to survive October through mid-December on your normal store revenue. If it cannot, the buy is too large.

All figures in worked examples are illustrations of the arithmetic, not offers or quotes. Real terms depend on your file and the funder.

The affordability screen

Run your proposed weekly payment against your slowest non-holiday weeks, since that is what carries it in October.
Check whether the payment still fits in the downside case above.
Keep at least one payroll in reserve. A funding payment that competes with seasonal staff wages is a warning sign.
Check your negative days from last October. If the account dipped then, it will again.

When not to borrow

You are entering a new category with no sales history.
Last year’s holiday stock is still in the back room.
Vendor delivery is uncertain and late stock would miss the peak.
The buy depends on a single event or a single big customer.

A smaller first order with a reorder line, or a later deposit with your vendor, is often cheaper than funding the whole season up front.

Which product fits

A line of credit suits seasonal buying because you draw per vendor and repay as December sales come in. It sits on the first tier of our published requirements. Revenue-based funding is read on deposits and can flex with sales. See revenue-based financing. For related reading, see funding with seasonal revenue and inventory restock. When ready, apply in about five minutes.

Keep reading

Common questions

How early should I apply for holiday inventory funding?

Before your first vendor deposit is due. Decisions on complete files are typically same day, but your schedule should not depend on the last day.

Can I use last holiday season to support the request?

Yes. Bank statements from last fall show the seasonal lift, which helps a reviewer understand the timing. Send what is requested and note the season in a line.

What if I cannot sell everything?

Plan for it. The downside case above assumes deep January markdowns. If the payments only work in the best case, reduce the buy.

Is a line of credit better than a lump sum for seasonal stock?

Often, because you draw as each vendor invoice lands and pay down as sales come in.

See what you qualify for

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